I like Bradley in this spot against Evansville again both of these teams are very similar and neither one of them rebounds the ball well. 7.5 points is a lot of value especially since Evansville has not been a dominating home team allowing opponents to shoot better from the floor 46.2% than their % of 45.2. They also are only +.2 in rebound margin and Bradley can be efficient with the perimeter game shooting 40% from the field in conference play while Evansville has given up 40% in conference play from 3. That should be enough to allow Bradley to cover.
New Mexico State -1.5 4.4* NCAAB POD
Denver has the losing record on the road at 3-5 to New Mexicos 9-1 record at home. Denver has played better in conference play outscoring opponents by nearly 14 while New Mexico is at 4.1, but Denver relies too much on three pointers which does not transition well on the road. In fact they are shooting nearly 50% of their shot attempts from three point range thus they are one of the worst rebounding teams and they are going up against one of the best rebounding teams in New Mexico state ranked 7th best in home rebounding % while there are only 13 teams worse than Denver in rebounding % on the road. New Mexico St should dominate in the paint as Denver is ranked 143rd in 2point % defense. Until Denver proves they can shoot the ball from 3 on the road Iâll sell on them as they have a 31% from beyond the arch on the road.
